Entertainment Odds: Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

Last year, Matt Stonie did what nobody had done since 2006: Beat Joey Chestnut at the annual Fourth of July Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. Chestnut returns to Coney Island this Monday to reclaim his crown, but at press time, he’s a slight –110 underdog to Stonie’s –140 in head-to-head betting.

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Chestnut was the overwhelming –900 favorite heading into last year’ competition, but Stonie (in the field at +500) was the rising star on the Major League Eating circuit, and a definite threat to take the title away from the aging champion. Now 32 years old, Chestnut remains second on the MLE rankings behind Stonie, who just turned 24 in May. The over/under for Monday’s contest is 63.5 hot dogs consumed (buns included) within the 10-minute time limit. Stonie ate 62 franks last year to claim the title; Chestnut could only manage 60.

On the women’s side, Japanese-American Miki Sudo is expected to win her third straight crown. Sudo (No. 3 on the MLE rankings) is a –250 favorite in head-to-head betting with Sonya Thomas, who won this event in each of the first three years since its inaugural run in 2011. Their over/under is 39.5 hot dogs.

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