The Houston Astros (21-11, +6.05 betting units) were expected to do big things this season, and the New York Yankees (20-9, +10.06 units) were supposed to be a year or two away from contending. But it’s the Yankees who lead the American League at press time, and they can build on their momentum when they welcome Houston to the Bronx for a four-game series, starting Thursday at 7:05 PM ET on YES and the MLB Network.
This should be a tremendous pitching duel between Houston’s Dallas Keuchel (3.72 FIP) and New York’s Michael Pineda (3.66 FIP). The Astros have won six of Keuchel’s seven starts for 4.09 units in profit, supporting their former Cy Young winner with 5.14 runs per game. Pineda’s work for the Yankees hasn’t gone unrewarded, either – they’re 5-1 (+3.94 units) in his six starts, providing 7.33 runs per game and driving the over to a 4-2 record.
One small problem for the Astros: OF Marwin Gonzalez (1.067 OPS) was struck on the left foot by a pitch on Saturday and had to skip Sunday’s 5-3 win over the Los Angeles Angels (+103 at home). Gonzalez already has nine home runs this year; his career high is 13.