The Toronto Blue Jays (66-77, –21.19 betting units) have just three series left to play at Rogers Centre this year. Next up: the Baltimore Orioles, who are still in the hunt for a Wild Card spot in the American League. Game 2 of their three-game set is Tuesday at 7:07 PM ET on Sportsnet.
On the surface, it’s been a disappointing season for projected Jays’ starter Joe Biagini. The sophomore northpaw has taken a step back from his promising rookie campaign, and Toronto is 4-10 in his 14 starts for a loss of 9.44 units. However, Biagini (3.93 FIP) has been saddled with a .314 BABIP, and the Jays have given him just 3.50 runs of support per game, leaving the under at 10-4.
Kevin Gausman (4.74 FIP) has been even less fortunate with his .345 BABIP, but he’s been gifted with 4.60 runs per game, allowing the Orioles to split his 30 starts for a minimal loss of 1.93 units. The over is slightly ahead at 15-14-1 with Gausman on the mound. On September 1, he pitched six shutout innings in a 1-0 victory over the Jays (+175 away), spoiling Biagini’s 10-strikeout effort over seven scoreless innings.