Two of the most profitable teams in the majors will meet Sunday afternoon when the Milwaukee Brewers (51-35, plus-14.54 betting units) host the Atlanta Braves (49-36, plus-15.74 units) at 2:10 PM ET on TBS. The Brewers lead the National League Central Division, while the Braves are No. 1 in the NL East.
It might be tough for Atlanta score on Sunday. Junior Guerra (2.87 ERA) is projected to start for Milwaukee; he’s got all three of his pitches working this year – fastball, split-finger fastball and slider – and the Brewers are 9-7 behind him for a profit of 2.02 units, with the Under at 11-4-1. Guerra doesn’t go deep in games, but the Brew Crew have an excellent bullpen to clean up after him.
Atlanta responds with second-year lefty Sean Newcomb (3.10 ERA), who has the Braves 0.86 units in the black on a team record of 9-8, with the Over at 10-6. Newcomb has four pitches: fastball, slider, curve and change-up, and he’s had a lot more success with his fastball than he did as a rookie. The only current Brewer to face him last year was OF Christian Yelich, who went 3-for-5 with a walk while playing for Miami.