With fewer than 40 games remaining in the 2016 regular season, the Toronto Blue Jays (70-54, +0.47 betting units) are in the thick of a three-way race for first in the American League East. The Los Angeles Angels (52-72, –20.13 units), on the other hand, are last in the AL West by 20.5 games heading into Monday’s action. They’ll meet Wednesday at Rogers Centre; Sportsnet has the coverage starting at 7:07 PM ET.
Marco Estrada (4.17 FIP) is scheduled to pitch for Toronto. The 33-year-old righty has an unusual talent for creating “soft” contact, posting a ridiculously low .215 BABIP to take the edge off his propensity for giving up walks (3.13 per nine innings) and home runs (1.22/9 IP). Estrada remains 0.93 units in the red this year on a team record of 12-9.
In theory, Los Angeles has the better right arm in 29-year-old Matt Shoemaker (3.61 FIP), but he’s been snake-bitten by a .321 BABIP. The light-hitting Halos (.727 OPS) have also given Shoemaker just 3.21 runs per game in support, leaving themselves 8-16 and 8.53 units in debt during his 24 starts. The under is 14-9-1 for Shoemaker and 13-8 for Estrada this year.