Things have gone from bad to worse for the Republican Party. As Donald Trump’s presidential campaign turns more and more into a pro-wrestling show, Hillary Clinton and the Democrats see their election chances improve. In the past two weeks, the Republicans have slipped from +250 to +325 to win the 2016 US presidential race, while the Dems have taken another step forward from –325 to –450.
It’s been three weeks since the Democratic National Convention wrapped up in Philadelphia, and Clinton’s surge in the polls hasn’t shown any signs of slowing down. Trump is doing most of the work for her by making outlandish comments that appeal to his base. He’s projected to receive about 44% of the popular vote, so it’s not a small base by any means, but hardly enough to win the election in a virtual two-horse race.
Trump’s weakness in the key “swing” states can be seen on the props market, where his party’s a +200 underdog to win the popular vote in Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Nevada, and North Carolina. There are even some “red” states that are anything but locked down; the Republicans are just –250 to win Missouri, and –300 in Utah.