Politics Odds: Trump Claws Back, But Still Behind

With just over two months until the 2016 US presidential election, the betting odds appear to have stabilized when it comes to the winner. Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party have given back the gains they made in recent weeks, falling back from –450 to –325, while Donald Trump and the Republicans have improved from +325 to +250.

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Trump is still projected to receive about 44% of the popular vote on November 8, but his party has picked up steam in some key “swing” states. The GOP have climbed from +200 to +170 in both Iowa and North Carolina over the past two weeks, while Utah has vaulted from –300 to –700 to vote Republican. Meanwhile, Trump remains a +200 underdog to take Florida and Nevada, and the Republicans have slipped from +200 to +250 in Ohio. Clinton and the Dems are favored in 17 of the 22 states available on the futures market.

This has been a relatively quiet period for both parties, especially the Democrats, but business should pick up again on September 26 with the first of five scheduled debates – four between Clinton and Trump, and another between vice-presidential candidates Tim Kaine and Mike Pence.

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