With just two draws after two Euro 2016 matches, Portugal will almost certainly need all three points against Hungary this Wednesday (noon ET, ESPN) to qualify for the Round of 16. Their chances are looking good; at press time, Portugal is a –235 favorite on the moneyline, followed by Hungary at +800 and the draw at +330.
A draw would suit the Magyars just fine. They’ve clinched a top-three finish in Group F with an upset win over Austria and a draw against Iceland. One more point versus Portugal would assure Hungary of advancing to the Knockout Stage. However, Hungary might have already qualified by the time Wednesday rolls around, depending on the results from earlier in the week.
Portugal has played reasonably well at the Euros, yet they had to settle for a 1-1 draw against Iceland in the opener, then couldn’t find the net in a 0-0 final versus Austria. Cristiano Ronaldo had the chance to put Portugal ahead in the second match with a late penalty, but he struck the post. Ronaldo has zero goals thus far at Euro 2016 after opening as the +800 second favorite behind Germany’s Thomas Muller (+750) to win the Golden Boot.