The Facts
- A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th and 3rd).
- Al-Gharraf is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
- Al-Naft shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
- Al-Gharraf may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
- In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Al-Gharraf has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).
- Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Gharraf against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
Standings
| Pl | W | D | L | Diff | Pts | |||
| 1 | Al Karma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17:7 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Newroz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Erbil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:5 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Al Golan | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Duhok | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Diyala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Minaa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Al Talaba | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Zakho | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Al Gharraf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Naft Missan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
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