The Facts
- Medvedev is ranked ATP: 6., and Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 66..
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4.
- Medvedev is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
- Carreno Busta has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
- Medvedev may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
- In this matchup, Medvedev is considered the favorite to take the win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Medvedev has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:5 (averaging 1.4:0.7 goals per game).
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals
| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shang J. (WC) | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Cerundolo J. M. | Bu Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Borges N. | Djokovic N. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (3) | Carreno-Busta P. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Struff J-L. | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Van De Zandschulp B. (Q) | Cerundolo F. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bublik A. | Mensik J. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | De Minaur A. (5) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Buse I. | Halys Q. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Griekspoor T. | Rublev A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Safiullin R. (SE) | Cobolli F. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Tien L. (WC) | Hurkacz H. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Zhang Z. (WC) | Gea A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Molcan A. (Q) | Machac T. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Khachanov K. | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals
| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Shang J. | |
| 2 | Bu Y. | Djokovic N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Medvedev D. (3) | Struff J-L. | |
| 4 | Cerundolo F. | Mensik J. (8) | |
| 5 | De Minaur A. (5) | Halys Q. | |
| 6 | Rublev A. | Safiullin R. | |
| 7 | Hurkacz H. | Gea A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Molcan A. | Khachanov K. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | Djokovic N. (6) | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | Hurkacz H. | Khachanov K. |
Semi-finals
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 |
Final
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 |





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