- 01.07.2026, Wed
Win Probability
 |
 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Daniel Rincon ATP: 253. |
Mathys Erhard ATP: 339. |
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 54.9% | 45.1% | ||
| Initially | 50% | 50% | ||
| Our Initial ML Estimation | 54.7% | 45.3% | 🟢 |
Stats
| Aces | |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Double Faults | |
| 5 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage | |
| 53% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won | |
| 73% (33/45) | 54% (19/35) |
| 2nd serve points won | |
| 45% (18/40) | 59% (13/22) |
| Break Points Saved | |
| 4/7 | 0/4 |
| 1st return points won | |
| 46% (16/35) | 31% (14/45) |
| 2nd return points won | |
| 41% (9/22) | 55% (22/40) |
| Break Points Converted | |
| 4/4 | 3/7 |
| Service Points Won | |
| 60% (50/84) | 56% (32/57) |
| Return Points Won | |
| 44% (25/57) | 40% (34/84) |
| Total Points Won | |
| 53% (75/141) | 47% (66/141) |
| Last 10 balls | |
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved | |
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won | |
| 73% (8/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Return games won | |
| 36% (4/11) | 27% (3/11) |
| Total games won | |
| 55% (12/22) | 45% (10/22) |
Facts
- Rincon is ranked ATP: 261. Erhard is ranked ATP: 377.
- Rincon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Erhard is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Erhard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rincon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Event analysis started: Tue, 30 Jun 2026 10:36:00 GMT
Last predictions updated: Tue, 30 Jun 2026 16:18:05 GMT
Your Prediction
1 |
X |
2 |
|---|---|---|
| 83.3% | 0% | 16.7% |
Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | Marga | TV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1.70 | 2.05 | 7.6% | ||
 |
1.74 | 2.05 | 6.3% |  |
|
 |
1.73 | 2.22 | 2.8% | ||
 |
1.68 | 2.05 | 8.3% | |
|
 |
1.71 | 2.12 | 5.6% | |
|
 |
1.69 | 2.02 | 8.7% | |
|
 |
1.69 | 2.05 | 8% | ||
| Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.84) |
2.08 ↑ (1.84) |
6.7% (8.7%) |
- The most likely Over/Under: 22.00
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Previous Results Matching These Odds
Daniel Rincon - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Mathys Erhard - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.
Latest Results before This One
✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
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Head to Head
| |||||||||
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals
| 1 | Comesana F. (1) | Donald M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dedura D. | Damas M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rincon D. | Vasami J. (RET.) (JR) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Erhard M. (Q) | Rodionov J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Diaz Acosta F. (3) | Tobon M. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ribecai M. | Rapagnetta D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | McDonald N. (JR) | Martin Manzano J. C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Jorda Sanchis D. | Prado Angelo J. C. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Heide G. (5) | Gomez F. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Barrena A. | Dellien H. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Michalski D. (Alt) | Passaro F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Dalla Valle E. (Q) | Travaglia S. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Moller E. (7) | Gombos N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | Basile P. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Romano F. (WC) | Cecchinato M. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Brancaccio R. | Basilashvili N. (RET.) (2) | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals
| 1 | Comesana F. (1) | Dedura D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Rincon D. | Erhard M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Diaz Acosta F. (3) | Rapagnetta D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Martin Manzano J. C. | Jorda Sanchis D. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Heide G. (5) | Barrena A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Passaro F. | Dalla Valle E. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Moller E. (7) | Basile P. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cecchinato M. | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals
| 1 | Comesana F. (1) | Rincon D. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Diaz Acosta F. (3) | Martin Manzano J. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Heide G. (5) | Dalla Valle E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Basile P. (RET.) | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals
| 1 | Rincon D. | Diaz Acosta F. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Heide G. (5) | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 2 |
Final
| 1 | Diaz Acosta F. (3) | Cecchinato M. | 2 : 1 |
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