Italian Serie A, on Sunday,

Fiorentina

Bologna

Score, Highlights

Probability of winning

Fiorentina 53.77% Draw 26.36% Bologna 19.87%

Short Preview

  • Let’s enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
  • Fiorentina has the most likely position9 (14.69%), has project points53, has currently24, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
  • Bologna has the most likely position12 (12.47%), has project points47, has currently26, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
  • This event has quality 64, very small importance 5, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 2.
  • Two teams are playing changeable.
  • Bologna could have advantage in physics – more days for rest in last days.
  • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 30-13.
  • Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-1.

    Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

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    Betting Odds

    1 X 2
    Bwin 1.75 3.6 4.75
    bet_at_home 1.77 3.5 4.6
    Unibet 1.68 3.75 5.25
    MarathonBet 1.76 3.7 4.7
    WilliamHill 1.8 3.5 4.6
    Pinnacle 1.81 3.7 4.87
    Best for US Customers 1.8 3.55 4.7

    Latest Results

    29.01.23 SS Lazio – Fiorentina1:1
    21.01.23 Fiorentina – Torino FC – 0:1
    15.01.23 AS Roma – Fiorentina2:0
    12.01.23 Fiorentina – Sampdoria – 1:0
    07.01.23 Fiorentina – US Sassuolo – 2:1
    27.01.23 Bologna FC – Spezia Calcio – 2:0
    23.01.23 Bologna FC – US Cremonese – 1:1
    19.01.23 SS Lazio – Bologna FC1:0
    15.01.23 Udinese Calcio – Bologna FC1:2
    09.01.23 Bologna FC – Atalanta – 1:2

    Latest Head To Head

    11.09.22 Bologna FC – Fiorentina – 2:1
    13.03.22 Fiorentina – Bologna FC – 1:0
    05.12.21 Bologna FC – Fiorentina – 2:3
    02.05.21 Bologna FC – Fiorentina – 3:3
    03.01.21 Fiorentina – Bologna FC – 0:0

    Italian Serie A Standings

    Team

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Napoli 20 17 2 1 48:15 53
    2 Inter 20 13 1 6 40:26 40
    3 Lazio 20 11 5 4 36:16 38
    4 Atalanta 20 11 5 4 39:23 38
    5 AC Milan 20 11 5 4 37:29 38
    6 AS Roma 20 11 4 5 26:18 37
    7 Udinese 19 7 7 5 27:21 28
    8 Torino 20 7 6 7 21:22 27
    9 Bologna 20 7 5 8 26:30 26
    10 Empoli 20 6 8 6 19:24 26
    11 Monza 20 7 4 9 25:28 25
    12 Fiorentina 20 6 6 8 22:26 24
    13 Juventus 20 11 5 4 30:17 23
    14 Salernitana 20 5 6 9 25:38 21
    15 Lecce 20 4 8 8 19:24 20
    16 Sassuolo 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
    17 Spezia 20 4 6 10 17:32 18
    18 Verona 19 3 3 13 17:31 12
    19 Sampdoria 20 2 3 15 8:34 9
    20 Cremonese 20 0 8 12 15:35 8

    Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)

    team position project points now relegated qualify for ucl win league
    Napoli 1 (92.28%) 90 53 0% >99% 92%
    Inter Milan 2 (38.94%) 74 40 <1% 81% 4%
    Roma 3 (21.21%) 69 37 <1% 59% <1%
    Milan 4 (19.91%) 68 38 <1% 54% 1%
    Atalanta 4 (19.47%) 68 38 <1% 51% <1%
    Lazio 5 (19.63%) 67 38 <1% 44% <1%
    Udinese 7 (15.87%) 55 28 <1% 4% <1%
    Fiorentina 9 (14.69%) 53 24 <1% 2% <1%
    Juventus 8 (14.78%) 52 23 <1% 2% <1%
    Torino 9 (13.54%) 51 27 <1% 1% <1%
    Monza 12 (12.5%) 48 25 1% <1% <1%
    Bologna 12 (12.47%) 47 26 1% <1% <1%
    Sassuolo 14 (12.42%) 45 20 5% <1% <1%
    Empoli 14 (13.56%) 44 26 4% <1% <1%
    Lecce 16 (15.25%) 40 20 14% <1% <1%
    Salernitana 17 (19.02%) 36 21 29% <1% <1%
    Verona 18 (17.93%) 35 12 36% <1% <1%
    Spezia 18 (19.93%) 35 18 39% <1% <1%
    Cremonese 20 (44.49%) 26 8 85% <1% <1%
    Sampdoria 20 (39.54%) 26 9 85% <1% <1%