Italian Serie A, on Sunday,

Inter

Milan

Score, Highlights

Probability of winning

Inter 46.96% Draw 26.84% Milan 26.2%

Short Preview

  • One of the most interesting matches of the day’s play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage)).
  • Inter has the most likely position2 (30.65%), has project points74, has currently40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (77%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
  • Milan has the most likely position2 (24.12%), has project points72, has currently38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (69%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter won 2.
  • Inter is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins – 4).
  • Milan has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins – 0).
  • Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent – last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • Inter will have a mini benefit in this match.
  • Our prediction for today’s Inter to win the game is with odds 2.02.
  • Last 28 head-to-head matches Inter won 13 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 42-29.
  • Including matches at home between the teams Inter won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-14.

    Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

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    Betting Odds

    1 X 2
    Bwin 2 3.4 3.7
    bet_at_home 2 3.45 3.55
    Unibet 2.1 3.45 3.45
    MarathonBet 2 3.66 3.6
    WilliamHill 2 3.5 3.6
    Pinnacle 2.06 3.74 3.64
    Best for US Customers 2.01 3.5 3.6

    Latest Results

    28.01.23 US Cremonese – Inter Milan1:2
    23.01.23 Inter Milan – FC Empoli – 0:1
    18.01.23 AC Milan – Inter Milan0:3
    14.01.23 Inter Milan – Hellas Verona – 1:0
    10.01.23 Inter Milan – FC Parma – 2:1 ET
    29.01.23 AC Milan – US Sassuolo – 2:5
    24.01.23 SS Lazio – AC Milan4:0
    18.01.23 AC Milan – Inter Milan – 0:3
    14.01.23 US Lecce – AC Milan2:2
    11.01.23 AC Milan – Torino FC – 0:1 ET

    Latest Head To Head

    18.01.23 AC Milan – Inter Milan – 0:3
    03.09.22 AC Milan – Inter Milan – 3:2
    19.04.22 Inter Milan – AC Milan – 3:0
    01.03.22 AC Milan – Inter Milan – 0:0
    05.02.22 Inter Milan – AC Milan – 1:2

    Italian Serie A Standings

    Team

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Napoli 20 17 2 1 48:15 53
    2 Inter 20 13 1 6 40:26 40
    3 Lazio 20 11 5 4 36:16 38
    4 Atalanta 20 11 5 4 39:23 38
    5 AC Milan 20 11 5 4 37:29 38
    6 AS Roma 20 11 4 5 26:18 37
    7 Udinese 19 7 7 5 27:21 28
    8 Torino 20 7 6 7 21:22 27
    9 Bologna 20 7 5 8 26:30 26
    10 Empoli 20 6 8 6 19:24 26
    11 Monza 20 7 4 9 25:28 25
    12 Fiorentina 20 6 6 8 22:26 24
    13 Juventus 20 11 5 4 30:17 23
    14 Salernitana 20 5 6 9 25:38 21
    15 Lecce 20 4 8 8 19:24 20
    16 Sassuolo 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
    17 Spezia 20 4 6 10 17:32 18
    18 Verona 19 3 3 13 17:31 12
    19 Sampdoria 20 2 3 15 8:34 9
    20 Cremonese 20 0 8 12 15:35 8

    Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)

    team position project points now relegated qualify for ucl win league
    Napoli 1 (87.97%) 89 50 0% >99% 88%
    Inter Milan 2 (30.65%) 74 40 <1% 77% 5%
    Milan 2 (24.12%) 72 38 <1% 69% 3%
    Roma 4 (19.77%) 70 37 <1% 57% 2%
    Lazio 5 (19.39%) 68 37 <1% 46% 1%
    Atalanta 5 (20.13%) 67 38 <1% 43% <1%
    Juventus 7 (17.86%) 55 23 <1% 3% <1%
    Udinese 8 (16.48%) 54 28 <1% 3% <1%
    Fiorentina 9 (15.21%) 52 23 <1% 1% <1%
    Torino 9 (14.89%) 51 27 <1% <1% <1%
    Bologna 11 (13.44%) 48 26 1% <1% <1%
    Monza 12 (12.98%) 45 22 3% <1% <1%
    Empoli 13 (13.59%) 44 26 3% <1% <1%
    Sassuolo 14 (12.52%) 41 17 12% <1% <1%
    Lecce 15 (14.27%) 40 20 13% <1% <1%
    Salernitana 17 (17.46%) 36 21 28% <1% <1%
    Verona 18 (16.92%) 35 12 35% <1% <1%
    Spezia 18 (18.6%) 35 18 36% <1% <1%
    Cremonese 20 (43.92%) 26 8 83% <1% <1%
    Sampdoria 20 (39.84%) 26 9 84% <1% <1%