Norwegian Eliteserien, Monday,

Lillestrøm SK

Sarpsborg

Score, Highlights

Probability of winning

Lillestrøm 47.79% Draw 27.03% Sarpsborg 25.18%

Short Preview

  • The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
  • Lillestrøm has the most likely position – 3 (15.98%), has project points – 54, has currently – 14, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (13%), has a small chance of win league (13%).
  • Sarpsborg has the most likely position – 7 (12.4%), has project points – 43, has currently – 10, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
  • This event has quality 36, small importance 23, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 1.
  • Lillestrøm in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins – 4).
  • Sarpsborg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins – 3).
  • Lillestrøm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent – last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • Lillestrøm will have a mini benefit in this match.
  • Last 26 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 42-40.
  • Including matches at home between the teams Lillestrøm won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-21.

    Prediction (the most likely score): 2:1

    Outrights Norwegian Eliteserien: Lillestrom: 8.77 (10.19 %) Sarpsborg 08: 54.69 (1.63 %)
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    Betting Odds

    1 X 2
    Unibet 2 3.4 3.7
    MarathonBet 1.96 3.68 3.74
    WilliamHill 1.91 3.3 3.7

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    Latest Results

    08.05.22 Bodø/Glimt – Lillestrøm SK – 1:1
    04.05.22 Eidsvold IF – Lillestrøm SK – 0:7
    28.04.22 Lillestrøm SK – Aalesunds FK – 2:0
    24.04.22 Lillestrøm SK – FK Haugesund – 1:0
    18.04.22 Molde FK – Lillestrøm SK – 1:2    		 07.05.22 Sarpsborg 08 – Odds BK – 1:0
    24.04.22 Tromsø IL – Sarpsborg 08 – 2:5
    18.04.22 Sarpsborg 08 – Rosenborg BK – 1:1
    10.04.22 Kristiansund BK – Sarpsborg 08 – 2:3
    03.04.22 Sarpsborg 08 – Viking Stavanger FK – 0:1

    Latest Head To Head

    26.03.22 Sarpsborg 08 – Lillestrøm SK – 2:2
    02.10.21 Sarpsborg 08 – Lillestrøm SK – 2:1
    28.07.21 Lillestrøm SK – Sarpsborg 08 – 2:0
    01.12.19 Lillestrøm SK – Sarpsborg 08 – 0:0
    14.04.19 Sarpsborg 08 – Lillestrøm SK – 1:0

    Norwegian Eliteserien Standings

    Team

    Pl W D L Pts
    1 Viking 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
    2 Lillestrom 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
    3 Sarpsborg 08 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
    4 Valerenga 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
    5 Bodo/Glimt 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
    6 Aalesund 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
    7 Molde 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
    8 Jerv 5 2 1 2 3:6 7
    9 Ham-Kam 5 1 3 1 8:6 6
    10 Sandefjord 5 2 0 3 10:9 6
    11 Odd 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
    12 Rosenborg 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
    13 Stromsgodset 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
    14 Tromso 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
    15 Haugesund 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
    16 Kristiansund 5 0 1 4 4:9 1

    Outrights

    1. Bodo/Glimt: 2.45 (36.52 %)

    2. Viking: 4.42 (20.22 %)

    3. Molde: 4.48 (19.92 %)

    4. Lillestrom: 8.77 (10.19 %)

    5. Rosenborg: 18.31 (4.88 %)

    6. Valerenga: 26.46 (3.38 %)

    7. Sarpsborg 08: 54.69 (1.63 %)

    8. Odds BK: 79.92 (1.12 %)

    9. Aalesund: 243.77 (0.37 %)

    10. Stromsgodset: 268.77 (0.33 %)

    11. Ham-Kam: 304.15 (0.29 %)

    12. Sandefjord: 311.85 (0.29 %)

    13. Tromso: 334.92 (0.27 %)

    14. Kristiansund: 340.69 (0.26 %)

    15. Jerv: 465.69 (0.19 %)

    16. Haugesund: 638.77 (0.14 %)

    Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)

    team position project points now relegated qualify for ucl win league
    Bodø/Glimt 1 (32.48%) 59 8 <1% 32% 32%
    Viking Stavanger 1 (27.05%) 58 15 <1% 27% 27%
    Molde 3 (16.94%) 54 7 <1% 15% 15%
    Lillestrøm SK 3 (15.98%) 54 14 <1% 13% 13%
    Vålerenga 5 (13.28%) 49 9 1% 5% 5%
    Rosenborg 5 (13.68%) 49 6 1% 5% 5%
    Sarpsborg 08 7 (12.4%) 43 10 3% 1% 1%
    Aalesunds 9 (11.1%) 38 8 9% <1% <1%
    Strømsgodset 9 (10.73%) 36 6 14% <1% <1%
    Odds 10 (10.7%) 36 6 16% <1% <1%
    Sandefjord 11 (10.78%) 35 6 17% <1% <1%
    Hamarkameratene 14 (11.76%) 32 6 26% <1% <1%
    Haugesund 16 (14.75%) 30 3 35% <1% <1%
    Tromsø 16 (15.04%) 30 5 36% <1% <1%
    Jerv 16 (20.43%) 28 7 46% <1% <1%
    Kristiansund 16 (22.85%) 28 1 46% <1% <1%