Two years ago, the Houston Astros beat the New York Yankees for the American League pennant – and proceeded to win the World Series. Will they meet again this October? So far, so good; the Astros (48-27, plus-3.17 betting units) and Yankees (46-27, plus-5.26 units) each lead their respective divisions, and they’ll collide this Saturday in the Bronx, starting at 7:15 PM ET on FOX.

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The Astros will send Wade Miley (3.30 ERA) to the mound at Yankee Stadium against Masahiro Tanaka (3.23 ERA) in a lefty-on-righty matchup. Miley has paid instant dividends for Houston after signing a one-year deal in February; his new employers are up 5.22 units on a team record of 10-5, with the Under also at 10-5. Tanaka has pitched well for New York, but the Yankees are just 7-8 in his 15 starts (Under 8-6-1) for a deficit of 4.42 units. Five of those losses were by a single run.

Both teams have succeeded thus far despite losing several key players to injury. The Bombers are still without OF Aaron Judge (.925 OPS), while Houston has OF George Springer (1.032 OPS), SS Carlos Correa (.907 OPS) and INF Aledmys Diaz (.831 OPS) on the 10-day IL.

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