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Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B Real Avilés
Athletic Bilbao B
Spain
Real Avilés
Spain
1 X 2
Now 44.3% 29% 26.7%
Initially 42.9% 29.7% 27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation 44.2% 28.8% 26.6% 🟢
🟢 Our ML estimation reflects the current situation.

Highlights


Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. SpainSantos M. (G)
18. SpainBelategi D.
15. SpainLarrea B.
  5. SpainMonreal I. (C)
28. MoroccoEl Arbaoui I.
23. SpainSola J.
16. SpainSanchez S.
11. SpainConde A.
21. SpainGarcia B.
  7. SpainHuestamendia P.
17. SpainPecina A.
  1. SpainRaton A. (G)
15. SpainAlday I.
21. SpainSillero J.
23. SpainCarmona A.
  3. SpainEscoruela R.
  6. SpainDoncel P.
  5. SpainMayo S.
  8. SpainAbelenda B.
  7. SpainMontes C.
  9. SpainSantamaria A.
14. SpainCayarga B. (C)
Substitutes
  1. SpainGarcia S. (G)
22. SpainImga C.
  4. SpainIzagirre Cestona A.
14. TurkeyKorkut E.
  6. SpainLete E.
19. SpainOyono I.
  2. SpainPerez D.
  3. SpainSarasketa L.
20. SpainVizcay T.
27. SpainZarandona T.
  4. SpainArtetxe M.
24. SpainFranco S.
22. SpainGomez I.
27. SpainLiduena Alonso D.
  2. SpainMahicas J.
11. SpainMunoz I.
10. SpainNeskes
19. SpainPoquet N.
17. SpainPrendes M.
18. SpainRodriguez Y.
13. SpainSuarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)


Key Moments

  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Belategi D. , Huestamendia P. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Montes C. , Escoruela R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 2 - 1, Pecina A. ,
  • 58', Pecina A. , Vizcay T. ,
  • 58', Sanchez S. , Lete E. ,
  • 58', Conde A. , Oyono I. ,
  • 65', Cayarga B. , Munoz I. ,
  • 65', Doncel P. , Neskes ,
  • 65', Montes C. , Liduena Alonso D. ,
  • 68', Larrea B. 🟨,
  • 71', Munoz I. 🟨,
  • 74', Santamaria A. , Franco S. ,
  • 74', Escoruela R. , Rodriguez Y. ,
  • 76', Huestamendia P. , Imga C. ,
  • 80', Mayo S. 🟨,
  • 83', El Arbaoui I. , Sarasketa L. ,
  • 88', Lete E. 🟨,


Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.750.63
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
32
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
72
Passes
84% (382/454)83% (366/441)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.750.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.44
Total shots
126
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
52
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1614
Passes
84% (382/454)83% (366/441)
Long passes
67% (38/57)50% (35/70)
Passes in final third
74% (105/141)61% (65/107)
Crosses
25% (3/12)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.51
Throw ins
1625
Fouls
1416
Tackles
83% (20/24)60% (18/30)
Duels won
6561
Clearances
1413
Interceptions
1817
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.441.26
Goals prevented
-0.56-0.74
Goal kicks
108


Facts

  • Athletic Bilbao B is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Real Avilés has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
  • Athletic Bilbao B might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
  • Including home match between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
* Facts and predictions aggregated by the Live2Sport LLC team in partnership with TVEvents Sport data network.

Event analysis started: Wed, 02 Sep 2026 14:36:34 GMT



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Standings

PlWDLDiffPts
2Ath Bilbao B32106:337
14Real Aviles31024:403


Odds
1 X 2 Marga TV
Bwin 1.95 3.20 3.40 11.9%
betsson 2.02 3.1 3.45 10.7%
Bet_in_Asia 2.13 3.25 3.37 7.4%
GGBet 2.08 3.28 3.53 6.9%Watch and Bet
Williamhill 2.1 3.15 3.3 9.7%
BetNow 2.14 3.13 3.54 6.9%
Bovada 2.01 3.1 3.35 11.9%
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.06
(2.13)
3.17
(3.07)
3.42
(3.33)
9.3%
(9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

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Previous Results Matching These Odds
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.04.26 Athletic Bilbao B - Ferrol 0:1
25.01.26 Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo 2:0
14.12.24 Athletic Bilbao B - Tarazona 1:1
LWT
- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.03.26 Talavera de la Reina - Real Avilés 1:1
09.11.25 Cacereño - Real Avilés 0:4
12.10.25 Zamora - Real Avilés 2:3
Club Friendly
06.08.25 Real Avilés - Leonesa 2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.05.25 Antoniano - Real Avilés 0:0
12.01.25 Coruxo - Real Avilés 2:2
22.09.24 Salamanca - Real Avilés 0:0
TWWTTTT


Upcoming Matches
- easy match; - difficult match;
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.09.26 Athletic Bilbao B - Deportivo A Coruña B
- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.09.26 Coria - Real Avilés


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Latest Results before This One
- easy match; - difficult match;
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.08.26 Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B 1:1
Club Friendly
18.08.26 Laredo - Athletic Bilbao B 0:3
12.08.26 Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B 3:1
01.08.26 Athletic Bilbao B - Leonesa 2:0
29.07.26 Sestao - Athletic Bilbao B 0:1
25.07.26 Burgos - Athletic Bilbao B 1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.05.26 Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B 1:0
17.05.26 Athletic Bilbao B - CD Guadalajara 2:1
09.05.26 Pontevedra - Athletic Bilbao B 4:0
03.05.26 Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF 2:2
TWLWWTLWLT
- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.08.26 Real Avilés - Pontevedra 0:1
Club Friendly
15.08.26 Mosconia - Real Avilés 0:2
13.08.26 Ferrol - Real Avilés 1:1
05.08.26 Leonesa - Real Avilés 1:1
01.08.26 Ponferradina - Real Avilés 1:1
29.07.26 Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés 1:0
25.07.26 Real Oviedo B - Real Avilés 0:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.05.26 Pontevedra - Real Avilés 2:2
17.05.26 Real Avilés - Barakaldo 1:4
09.05.26 Ponferradina - Real Avilés 3:1
LWTTTLTTLL


Head to Head
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.01.26 Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés 0:1
28.09.25 Real Avilés - Athletic Bilbao B 3:2
Club Friendly
26.08.23 Real Avilés - Athletic Bilbao B 1:2
LLW


Standings

PlWDLDiffPts
1UD Logrones33007:259
2Ath Bilbao B32106:337
3Lugo32104:137
4Cacereno32103:127
5R. Union320110:646
6Pontevedra32016:426
7Mirandes32016:426
8Racing Club Ferrol31114:404
9Zamora31114:404
10Dep. Fabril31113:304
11Ponferradina31112:204
12Cultural Leonesa31111:104
13Barakaldo31112:4-24
14Real Aviles31024:403
15CD Coria31025:6-13
16AD Merida31024:5-13
17CD Extremadura31022:3-13
18Arenas Getxo30123:7-41
19Unionistas30034:10-60
20UD Ourense30030:6-60

      Promotion ~ LaLiga2
      Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
      Relegation

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Disclaimer: All sports predictions and statistical data provided by Live2Sport LLC are for informational and analytical purposes only. We do not guarantee any financial gain or specific outcomes. Sports betting involves significant risk; please play responsibly and only with funds you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know is struggling with gambling addiction, please contact professional support organizations immediately. 18+